Sunday, February 6, 2022

Comfort With Ambiguity, Conspiracy, And COVID



It is not coincidence that many people have lost their minds over COVID-19, nor that a lot of the unwillingness to comply with certain precautions fall, largely, along party lines... and a lot of this has to do with "comfort with ambiguity." Researchers have found that being comfortable with ambiguity can be tested in young children and is heavily predictive of future beliefs and political inclinations (i.e. those that are usually become "liberal", and those that aren't usually become "conservative").

I'm not here to judge whether having this trait is necessarily "good" or "bad"... but when it comes to having an "accurate" view of reality in a time of chaos, comfort with ambiguity is usually a necessary trait. The reason is, for something like a novel corona virus, and the first pandemic in which we have the technology to sequence the genome of strains, etc., we are necessarily not going to know a lot, both in identifying what is happening and prescribing solutions for societal action.

For a person who is deeply uncomfortable with ambiguity, this is maddening... they want to know where it came from, who is to blame, what is the government doing about it, are masks effective or not, is this all some kind of plot... and you can see how the thinking goes, searching for every conspiracy that might explain what is happening and ease their discomfort. To be fair, this is completely understandable, and is exacerbated by the fact that our mainstream media outlets/government responses are complete garbage. When people are given no, or inconsistent, information, they are going to be anxious and they are going to speculate.

On the other side, people who are comfortable with ambiguity can juggle, sometimes seemingly conflicting views, such as that pharmaceutical companies are both hugely economically predatory AND that they sometimes create life-saving vaccines. Or that vaccines can be incredibly effective on one strain, and pretty ineffective on another. Or that masks slow infections, without being 100% effective, and vary with the transmissibility of the strain and with the type of mask worn. Or that vaccines may not prevent getting covid for some strains, but can greatly reduce hospitalization and death. Or just generally... be able to say "I don't know" and/or "I will reserve judgment until more is known."

I'm sure I've already alienated many people reading this, but it was not my intent, but rather to get people to understand WHY there is so much conspiracy and frustration going around at this time... and hopefully, for people to be able to reflect about which type of person they are, and understand the people on the "other side" of our human condition.

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